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Trading Strategy

Why intraday volatility keeps rising — and how to capture it safely

Intraday spreads in Europe have widened as renewable penetration grows. What this means for solar, wind and battery portfolios.

As wind and solar penetration grows, day-ahead forecasts get less reliable by the hour — and intraday markets have become the primary venue for correcting position and capturing value from those forecast shifts.

The structural driver

More weather-dependent capacity means larger forecast errors between day-ahead gate closure and delivery. That shows up as wider, more frequent intraday price swings — a direct opportunity for anyone able to re-trade continuously.

Capturing it safely

Capturing intraday volatility requires forecasts refreshed every 15 minutes and automated execution — not a desk checking screens once a day. Samawatt's engine re-trades continuously, with every decision logged and auditable.

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